Will @firstuserhere coauthor a publication in AIstats, AAAI, ICLR or JMLR before end of 2024? ($11,000M subsidy)
47
478
Ṁ62KṀ12K
Dec 31
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will I submit a first author (or cofirst author) conference paper to ICLR, NeurIPS or ICML in 2024?
71% chance
Will firstuserhere lose one of their current >25k mana position before 2029?
69% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2025?
18% chance
Will I get a first paper author in a top ML conference in 2024?
56% chance
Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2025?
33% chance
Will Manifold be cited in a paper from a top-tier AI lab or AI journal before 2025?
45% chance
Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2026?
32% chance
Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will a large-scale, Eliezer-Yudkowsky-approved AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
8% chance