Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

117

Ṁ1kṀ20k

2029

80%

chance

ALL

Resolves "yes" if any of the six remaining Millenium Prize Problems are solved before Jan. 1, 2030, and the solution is accepted by the Clay Mathematics Institute.

Market context

Math

Millennium Prize Problems

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

78% chance

Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028

65% chance

Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

43% chance

When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?

By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?

82% chance

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

8% chance

Sort by:

bought Ṁ250 NO

Please tell me you guys aren't believing the Strawberry dude

Arbitrage

https://www.ft.com/content/72d2c2b1-493b-4520-ae10-41c1a7f3b7e4

@MalachiteEagle Going from "they will solve some important conjectures" to "they will solve a millenium prize problem" is peak availability heuristic

Interesting that the probability of this has gone up lately. Maybe people think the room-temperature superconductor will help solve the Millennium problems.