Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030? | Manifold

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

74

1kṀ7106

2029

46%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves "yes" if any of the six remaining Millenium Prize Problems are solved before Jan. 1, 2030, and the solution is accepted by the Clay Mathematics Institute.

Millennium Prize Problems

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https://www.ft.com/content/72d2c2b1-493b-4520-ae10-41c1a7f3b7e4

Interesting that the probability of this has gone up lately. Maybe people think the room-temperature superconductor will help solve the Millennium problems.

Why'd everyone bet this so far down without also betting on the identical market in the comments? There's an easy dutch book now.

predictedNO

Dutch book opportunity:

This is the AI's interpretation of what a Millennium Prize looks like:

Millenium Prize

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Related questions

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

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Will an AI System Solve One of the Remaining Millennium Prize Problems by June 2025?

Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?

Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?

Will a new problem be added to the Millennium Prize Problems by the end of 2030?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

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