Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
56
403
920
2029
25%
chance

Resolves "yes" if any of the six remaining Millenium Prize Problems are solved before Jan. 1, 2030, and the solution is accepted by the Clay Mathematics Institute.

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Interesting that the probability of this has gone up lately. Maybe people think the room-temperature superconductor will help solve the Millennium problems.

sold Ṁ20 of NO

Why'd everyone bet this so far down without also betting on the identical market in the comments? There's an easy dutch book now.

predicts NO

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This is the AI's interpretation of what a Millennium Prize looks like:

Millenium Prize

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