Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
39
Ṁ100Ṁ2.6k2027
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
67% chance
Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department?
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
49% chance
Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
27% chance
Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
36% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
48% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
29% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
52% chance
Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?
51% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
10% chance
Sort by:
@jim only one of them has been solved in 25 years since the prize was announced (and most were well-known many decades before that). And AI is obviously not ready to tackle the hardest to crack mathematical problems known, not next year at least.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
67% chance
Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department?
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
49% chance
Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
27% chance
Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
36% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
48% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
29% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
52% chance
Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?
51% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
10% chance