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MANIFOLD
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
114
Ṁ100Ṁ65k
Jan 1
96%
chance

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Ṁ1,000
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Does it have to be certified by Clay?

i became bored from manifold over the last months so i decided to bet a lot of money against something which i really want to happen. and here we are -20,000 Mana :)

im stupid i should not have put 24 hr expiring no limit orders

@vi life comes at you fast

Rumors setting this at 80% is kinda crazy

opened a Ṁ1,090 YES at 67% order

@ProjectVictory wanna bet more?

boughtṀ280YES

It's only June

reposted

NO limit orders for 15 and 20%

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 10% order

@ProjectVictory YES order for 10%

@jim only one of them has been solved in 25 years since the prize was announced (and most were well-known many decades before that). And AI is obviously not ready to tackle the hardest to crack mathematical problems known, not next year at least.

@ProjectVictory right now. no., Next year ~15%.