Predictions about destruction due to Earthquakes in 2024

18

1kṀ6057

resolved Jan 2

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolved

YES

An earthquake occurs that causes >=150 fatalities (Anywhere in the world)

Resolved

NO

An earthquake occurs that causes >=150 fatalities in the US

Resolved

NO

An earthquake occurs that causes >=1000 deaths (anywhere in the world)

Resolved

NO

An earthquake occurs that causes >=10,000 deaths (anywhere in the world)

Submit predictions relevant to Destruction due to Earthquakes. All predictions are supposed to be about 2024. I will N/A irrelevant predictions or predictions about broader timeframes. By default, if no timeframe is mentioned, it is to be assumed as sometime in 2024.

If there are multiple, simultaneous (<24 hrs apart) earthquakes in the same location, then this market will treat them as a singular earthquake by default, unless otherwise specified.

As for the fatalities, a few (>3, <10) of the reputable reportings of the number will be averaged to get an estimate.

Only about earthquakes in 2024, not before.

Natural Disasters

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