Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
18
78
Ṁ823Ṁ460
2026
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
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As a Kiwi (living in Australia now though) you can't underestimate the amount of remediation work undertaken by the government after the Christchurch earthquakes. Many (many!) buildings in Wellington that were supposedly up to code have been investigated and forced to take additional strengthening measures. This strengthening wasn't just in Wellington but across the entire country.
@SamuelRichardson Wellington still doesn’t have a central library it can use because the council can’t afford to remediate it.
@Nps I would think that the first three would count, the last one wouldn’t. I’d probably have to use my judgement at the time, though.
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