Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
55
2.2kαΉ€7205
2030
1%
In 2024, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
17%
In 2025, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
45%
In 2026, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
66%
In 2027, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
80%
In 2028, AI be as big a political issue as abortion

Will resolve at the end of each year according to Scott's original resolution:

I will resolve this based on some combination of how much it gets talked about in elections, how much money goes to interest groups on both topics, and how much of the "political conversation" seems to be about either.

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