By 2028, given some text, AI can output a recording that can’t be distinguished from a voice actor, by expert listeners? | Manifold

By 2028, given some text, AI can output a recording that can’t be distinguished from a voice actor, by expert listeners?

36

1kṀ1035

2028

82%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Technical AI Timelines

Expert survey on AI progress, 2023

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Does looking at the waveform file directly and distinguishing based on that count? Or is only listening allowed?

@Pykess Only listening!

Related questions

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Will "AI be able to do a ✨performance✨ like a really good audiobook narrator." before 2028?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

Will it be effectively impossible to tell a human and a high quality AI apart on social media before 2026?

Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029

By 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can

Will AI easily replace/blank out 90% of IRL *names* mentioned in all audio recordings contained in a folder by 2024?

By 2030, will AI be able to produce a song that is indistinguishable from a new song by a particular artist?

Will an AI be able to repeatedly write rap songs that I think are good without human input in the lyrics before 2025?

Related questions

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029

Will "AI be able to do a ✨performance✨ like a really good audiobook narrator." before 2028?

By 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?

Will AI easily replace/blank out 90% of IRL *names* mentioned in all audio recordings contained in a folder by 2024?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

By 2030, will AI be able to produce a song that is indistinguishable from a new song by a particular artist?

Will it be effectively impossible to tell a human and a high quality AI apart on social media before 2026?

Will an AI be able to repeatedly write rap songs that I think are good without human input in the lyrics before 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules