By 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam
competition.
21
1kṀ64092028
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition—a math contest whose questions have known solutions, but which are difficult for the best young mathematicians
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Would AI beat humans at AtCoder Grand Finals (16 July 2025)
36% chance
By 2028, AI can play new levels of "Angry Birds" better than the best human players.
77% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2026?
22% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
14% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?
75% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2027?
37% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?
73% chance
Putnam Top 100 #2: Will any AI score in the top 100 Putnam scorers by start of 2026?
87% chance
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?
15% chance
Putnam Top 100 #4: Will any AI score in the top 100 Putnam scorers by start of 2028?
90% chance