By 2040, AIs will be as good as the best human at any task that can be performed on a computer at that time and as fast
7
52
Ṁ146Ṁ150
2040
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Programming
Strategy
Controlling robots
Negotiation
Video communication
Content creation
This includes the effects of reguation. If there is any type of internet task that regulation has ensured that AIs are unable to do then this resolves no.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI be able to speedrun any popular video game faster than the human WR by the end of 2024?
23% chance
Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028
57% chance
By 2025, will most well-educated people expect AI to within 10 years be better at intellectual work than 99% of humans?
19% chance
When will AI be better than humans at AI research? (Basically AGI)
Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030
60% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
32% chance
The AI company with the smartest AI system by the end of 2026
Artificial consciousness will emerge in the course of increasing AI capabilities
56% chance
Neural Nets will beat any human on computer tasks a typical white-collar worker can do in 10 minutes by the end of 2025.
43% chance
Will AI surpass humans in conducting scientific research by 2030?
34% chance