By 2040, AIs will be as good as the best human at any task that can be performed on a computer at that time and as fast
Basic
7
Ṁ1462040
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Programming
Strategy
Controlling robots
Negotiation
Video communication
Content creation
This includes the effects of reguation. If there is any type of internet task that regulation has ensured that AIs are unable to do then this resolves no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI outcompete the best humans on any one programming contest of IOI, ICPC, or CodeForces before 2025?
13% chance
By 2025, will most well-educated people expect AI to within 10 years be better at intellectual work than 99% of humans?
20% chance
By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
51% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
9% chance
Will we achieve AGI by 2030? AGI meaning AI being able to do everything in computer and internet as good as human.....
42% chance
Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030
70% chance
By 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam
competition.
69% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
85% chance
When will AIs be good at predicting the future?