Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?
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Resolves YES if Ilya's company offers ANY commercial or free product, of any kind, in violation of their mission statement not to do so, OR if their company merges with or is sold to a company that offers a product.
Resolves NO if artificial superintelligence is created or comes to be, anywhere, in any way.
Resolves NO if Ilya's company folds such that it clearly will never be part of another company or release a product.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Ilya saying in his recent interview with Dwarkesh:
"one of the things that I recently changed my mind about, that may backpropagate into the plans of my company is that if it [the power of AI] is hard to imagine , you gotta be showing the thing"
https://youtu.be/aR20FWCCjAs?t=3469
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