The next general election is scheduled for Friday, November 29th, 2024.
This market resolves to the next Taoiseach (a.k.a. prime minister) following the election. If no such prime minister is in office by EOY 2025, it resolves N/A. Interim prime ministers do not count.
Resolution criteria partially inspired by Polymarket. I am not an expert on Irish politics so please LMK if there are any edge cases to keep an eye on.
1,000
3.00If you want to be absolutely totally 100% clear, you could say that in the event of a power-sharing agreement (like the one in the recently-dissolved Parliament), the answer is whoever is Prime Minister first. I think it's already obvious, but people like to whine.
The agreement was that the FF and FG parties would each have the Premiership for two years. FF had more seats so they went first, and now their leader Micheál Martin is Deputy PM.