Which exact words/phrases will Biden say in the ABC interview?
175
5.1kṀ47k
resolved Jul 7
Resolved
YES
"Look"
Resolved
YES
"Cold"
Resolved
YES
"Trump"
Resolved
YES
"Liar"
Resolved
YES
“Supreme Court”
Resolved
YES
The Fact of the matter is
Resolved
YES
"Immunity"
Resolved
NO
"Donald"
Resolved
NO
"Knocked down"
Resolved
NO
“The fact is”
Resolved
NO
"Kamala" OR "Harris"
Resolved
NO
"Clearly as I can"
Resolved
NO
"Convicted felon"
Resolved
NO
"That’s why"
Resolved
NO
“The idea that”
Resolved
NO
"Jill"
Resolved
NO
"Drop out"
Resolved
NO
"Old"
Resolved
NO
"Above the law"
Resolved
NO
"The American people"

These options resolve YES if Joe Biden says the exact sequence of words during his upcoming ABC interview with George Stephanopoulos. This follows the same rules as the debate market.

  • This market will close before the interview is released.

  • If the interview has not been released by July 15th, all options N/A.

  • It resolves based on the interview that we're shown—even if we find out some parts have been edited out, it only resolves if it's in the published part.

  • You can add your own responses, but note (1) I intend to be very strict with resolution (following the rules below), & (2) I reserve the right to edit all entries to better match the spirit of the market.

Resolution examples:

  • It needs to be the exact same words (in order): "shut the hell up" does not count for "shut up".

  • This includes verb tenses and pluralization: "We defended democracy" does not count for "defend democracy", and "convicted felons" does not count for "convicted felon".

  • However, any punctuation is fine: "Come on! Man, I..." counts for "come on, man", and "Folks. Folks, I..." counts for "folks, folks". What matters is that the words are said in sequence.

  • Similarly, any form of contraction counts: "c'mon, man" would count for "come on, man", and "here is the deal" would count for "here's the deal".

  • Broadly, different forms of writing the same word will count: "January sixth" counts for "January 6th".

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