How many medals will Simone Biles win at the 2024 Paris Olympics?
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Ṁ20k
resolved Aug 5
100%98.8%
4
0.3%
2 or fewer
0.5%
3
0.4%
5 or more

Simone Biles is widely considered to be the greatest gymnast of all time—she has 23 gold medals at the World Championships, 14 more than the nearest competitor. Despite, that, at the most recent Olympics in Tokyo, Simone only won two medals—many fewer than expected.

At this Olympic Games, Simone plans to bring the heat (and a floor routine with music from Taylor Swift & Beyonce). She could potentially win up to 6 medals (Team, All Around, Vault, Balance Beam, Floor Exercise, and Uneven Bars). How many will she win?

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All gymnastic competitions are over (https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/schedule/artistic-gymnastics?day=5-august). Resolving to 4, she won:
- Gold in Team
- Gold in All-Around
- Gold in Vault
- Silver in Floor

I’ll ask about this in the mod channel for clarification but please don’t resolve my other markets—it’s been like an hour (I’m very active!) and I’d rather have the option to do a short write-up when resolving.

Sorry about that! I won't resolve your markets again. I generally try to resolve as soon as I know the result in markets that are 100% clear what the result is, because I feel like traders want resolution as soon as possible to free their mana. As a question creator I don't mind when another mod resolves my markets, in fact I prefer it because it makes traders happy and more likely to bid again in my markets, but we all like different things. Sorry again for imposing!

It's fine! No worries. I just like having the control over doing my own summary/write-up/etc, & sometimes wait til after the live broadcast. But not a huge deal.

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