Will anyone lose at least M$2,000,000 on a single market by the end of 2023?
36
90
670
resolved Apr 30
Resolved
YES

I shamelessly take inspiration from this market by @IsaacKing

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-anyone-profit-by-at-least-m100-56baa429a7a9

This is not the exact opposite, as both can resolve YES together (even with a single market) and also not identical.

I will ignore bets placed to manipulate this market, such as someone using an alt account to bet against themselves and have one of the accounts "lose" by M$2,000,000. I want this to be about "real" profit on "real" markets.

Only profit reflected on Manifold counts, not any private manalink deals. Any markets that resolved prior to this market being created don't count.

500,000 version: https://manifold.markets/Zardoru/will-anyone-lose-at-least-m500000-o

1,000,000 version: https://manifold.markets/Zardoru/will-anyone-lose-at-least-m1000000

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted YES
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This resolves yes.

does Isaac losing millions in the WvM market by refund count?

@KitRedgrave Only market result count, not any other way to lose mana.