Will anyone profit by at least M$1,000,000 on a single market by the end of 2023?
137
closes 2024
38%
chance

I will ignore bets placed to manipulate this market, such as someone using an alt account to bet against themselves and have one of the accounts "profit" by M$150,000. I want this to be about "real" profit on "real" markets.

Only profit reflected on Manifold counts, not any private manalink deals. Any markets that resolved prior to this market being created don't count.

Simlar markets on various profit values:

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PseudonymousAlt avatar
PseudonymousAlt

A whale, or mega whale, could easily manipulate the market below because of the limit orders at 1% to make a million bucks profit

goldenes56 avatar
goldenes56

What was the highest profit recorded so far on a "real" market?

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