
Will anyone profit by at least M$1,000,000 on a single market by the end of 2023?
137
closes 2024
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will ignore bets placed to manipulate this market, such as someone using an alt account to bet against themselves and have one of the accounts "profit" by M$150,000. I want this to be about "real" profit on "real" markets.
Only profit reflected on Manifold counts, not any private manalink deals. Any markets that resolved prior to this market being created don't count.
Simlar markets on various profit values:
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A whale, or mega whale, could easily manipulate the market below because of the limit orders at 1% to make a million bucks profit

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38 YES payouts
Ṁ3,364
Ṁ2,022
Ṁ1,580
Ṁ419
Ṁ250
Ṁ165
Ṁ164
Ṁ147
Ṁ117
Ṁ96
Ṁ87
Ṁ75
Ṁ56
Ṁ49
Ṁ30
Ṁ29
68 NO payouts
Ṁ2,973
Ṁ1,899
Ṁ435
Ṁ330
Ṁ209
Ṁ162
Ṁ158
Ṁ134
Ṁ133
Ṁ129
Ṁ116
Ṁ114
Ṁ107
Ṁ104
Ṁ97



















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Will this market have the most M$ invested in it of all my markets, current and future, on June 30, 2023?27%
Will any of my markets about prediction market longevity have at least 100 traders by the end of 2023?26%