Will a self-described 'democratic socialist' win the US presidential election in 2028?
13
1kṀ646
2027
31%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate who self-identifies as a "democratic socialist" is elected President of the United States in the 2028 election. The candidate must publicly describe themselves using the term "democratic socialist" during their campaign or prior political career. Verification will be based on reputable news sources and official campaign materials.

Background

Democratic socialism is a political ideology advocating for a democratically managed economy with social ownership of the means of production, aiming to replace capitalism with a socialist system. (britannica.com) In the U.S., notable figures like Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez have identified as democratic socialists, bringing increased visibility to the movement. (axios.com)

Considerations

As of July 2025, no major candidates for the 2028 U.S. presidential election have declared their candidacy. While some politicians associated with democratic socialism, such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, have gained prominence, it remains uncertain whether they will run for president or how their self-identification may evolve. Additionally, the term "democratic socialist" can be subject to varying interpretations, so clear public self-identification by the candidate is essential for this market's resolution.

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