Will Starship’s hot-staging work on the first try?
57
945Ṁ12k
resolved Feb 27
Resolved
YES

Ie, on the next full stack test flight to use hot staging, will that hot staging be basically nominal?

If the hot staging is a direct or the primary indirect cause of flight failure, this will resolve NO

If SpaceX abandons hot staging without testing it, this resolves N/A.

UPDATE: this question has now reduced to whether "the hot staging [was] a direct or the primary indirect cause of flight failure" of the lower stage (or the upper stage I guess but that seems much less likely). See the comments, especially the earliest ones where I precommited to that interpretation.

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