Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?
66
633
1K
2039
88%
chance

This question will resolve YES if there is no known and publicly available technology that results in sleep not being needed at the end of 2039.

Otherwise, it will resolve NO. If mind uploading or something akin to it exists by then, then if the technology does not require some downtime it will also resolve to NO.

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bought Ṁ69 NO

Sleep is so cringe, save me science. I'll get a brain implant, I'll let you edit my genes, I'll do whatever you say

@Tumbles oh yeah if the tech requires genetic engineering and only works on new babies (can't be done on living humans) that would probably resolve this YES? and seems kinda doable, some freaks of nature ~don't sleep iirc?

I know a guy who claims meditation allows him to sleep only an hour or two per night, for the last few years. Mid thirties I think, hippy type, god at melee.

Maybe someday @Mira will unexpectedly erase all my sleep debt like they did my mana debt

@Tumbles that stuff spooks me, I don't understand this mystical power. does he not have psychosis? does he implicitly replace his sleep with hours of restorative mindlessness? I am confused. the average person trying to sleep 1-2 hours per night probably goes insane after days or weeks right? i don't have a great sense of this

@Bayesian Hard to say... they kind of are insane, but not the kind of insane you would expect from someone hardcore sleep deprived. They are a good conversationalist, capable of paying attention without effort. I kind of assume their meditation is a little bit more sleepish than some people

@Tumbles woah, that is interesting. I am wondering things

@Tumbles I'll give you some of the Modafinil I got from a shady Indian site if you need it. It'll keep you "woke" in your battle against prediction market libertarians.

opened aṀ20,000 YES at 90% order

@JonathanRay your limit orders were cancelled btw. happy to take more of them if you wanna put them back up, up to you tho

opened a Ṁ9,000 YES at 87% order

@Bayesian They’re back up

reposted

There is a lot of free mana right here. It's going to resolve NO if we're still alive by then, and it's at 90%. It'll also only be going down over time.

predicts NO

(Oops, never mind, misread something about resolution criteria.)

bought Ṁ0 of NO

Come at me YES buyers, I've left a big limit order at 90%.

bought Ṁ36 of YES

This is super obvious

it would be an overstatement to say that humanity will somehow invent a technology that will contradict our normal living standards.

@Zesharwama >What is agriculture?