
Will a technology exist by 2030 that will cure insomnia?
28
1kṀ7352030
33%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve YES if at the end of 2029 exists a technology that can provide a full length restful sleep every night without assistance of other substances/devices. The technology should be possible to be bought publicly or at least approved for use if needed.
Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a safe and sustainable way of avoiding the need for sleep by 2030?
5% chance
Will an orexin antagonist be the best long term sleeping drug in 2030
55% chance
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
12% chance
Will the FDA approved a drug that claims to reduce the number of hours of sleep you need by 2040?
39% chance
Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?
83% chance
Will an intervention be found by 2045 that reduces the amount of sleep needed in order to function by at least 25%?
46% chance
In 2040, will any state of the art AIs do something analogous to sleeping?
51% chance
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
39% chance
EOY 2030, what % of MIT undergrads self-modified to reduce their sleep needs using medical tools unavailable in 2023?
13
Will humans still need sleep at the beginning of 2045?
88% chance