Margin of Victory in Kentucky Gubernatorial Election
➕
Plus
27
Ṁ19k
resolved Nov 21
100%96%
Dems by 5% to 6%
0.1%
GOP by 2% or more
0.2%
GOP by 1% to 2%
0.2%
GOP by under 1%
0.5%
Dems by under 1%
0.6%
Dems by 1% to 2%
0.5%
Dems by 2% to 3%
0.3%
Dems by 3% to 4%
1.6%
Dems by 4% to 5%
0.2%
Dems by 6% or more

This market will resolve yes to the option that identifies the party whose candidate wins a larger percentage vote in the 2023 Kentucky Gubenatorial Election and the difference in the percentages of the vote won by these two candidates. Percentages of the vote shall be determined by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total of votes for all ballot-listed candidates officially reported.

In the event of a tie in the percentage of the popular vote won by the two party candidates, the contract "GOP by under 1%" shall resolve to Yes. Should the result fall precisely on the threshold between two contracts, this market will resolve to the contract with the higher numerical range. For example if the candidate for the GOP recieves exactly 1% more of the vote than the candidate for the Democrats this market will resolve to "GOP by 1% to 2%" rather than "GOP by under 1%".

I may trade in this market.

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@SirCryptomind As I said below, because it is close, I’ll wait for the official results. Which should be posted here: https://elect.ky.gov/results/2020-2029/Pages/2023.aspx

I’ll wait for the official election results to be published on the secretary of state’s website since the results are fairly close as of this comment.

@WilliamCox

I'm not selling!

Thanks for the fun market. I don't even know what the election was about.

@WilliamCox What if it is exactly 5%? Looks like 5.009% difference from the site: https://vrsws.sos.ky.gov/liveresults/

@SirCryptomind Per my description, “should the result fall precisely on the threshold between two contracts, this market will resolve to the contract with the higher numerical range.” Which means that the 5-6 bracket would resolve to yes and all others to no.

This market brought back the good old days of Predictit. GG

Well shit

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