Margin of Victory in Kentucky Gubernatorial Election
27
2.2kṀ19k
resolved Nov 21
100%96%
Dems by 5% to 6%
0.1%
GOP by 2% or more
0.2%
GOP by 1% to 2%
0.2%
GOP by under 1%
0.5%
Dems by under 1%
0.6%
Dems by 1% to 2%
0.5%
Dems by 2% to 3%
0.3%
Dems by 3% to 4%
1.6%
Dems by 4% to 5%
0.2%
Dems by 6% or more

This market will resolve yes to the option that identifies the party whose candidate wins a larger percentage vote in the 2023 Kentucky Gubenatorial Election and the difference in the percentages of the vote won by these two candidates. Percentages of the vote shall be determined by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total of votes for all ballot-listed candidates officially reported.

In the event of a tie in the percentage of the popular vote won by the two party candidates, the contract "GOP by under 1%" shall resolve to Yes. Should the result fall precisely on the threshold between two contracts, this market will resolve to the contract with the higher numerical range. For example if the candidate for the GOP recieves exactly 1% more of the vote than the candidate for the Democrats this market will resolve to "GOP by 1% to 2%" rather than "GOP by under 1%".

I may trade in this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,006
2Ṁ182
3Ṁ131
4Ṁ83
5Ṁ74
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy