
Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?
15
10kṀ10k2026
20%
chance
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6H
1D
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From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
I will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2026, prescribing mifepristone for medical abortions in the United States becomes either:
illegal or
significantly restricted, as to prevent the majority of pregnancies in their sixth week from being terminated via mifepristone in every state.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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