Will fewer than 20 states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2040?
Basic
4
Ṁ112040
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve according to the report published by Guttmacher Institute.
https://states.guttmacher.org/policies/
States which classified as "Restrictive", "Very Restrictive" or "Most Restrictive" counts as being restrictive on abortion for the Resolution of this market.
Currently 28 states are classified as "Restrictive", "Very Restrictive" or "Most Restrictive"
If Guttmacher Institute stop publishing the report, I will try to find another state level report on abortion to judge this question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which of the following States will be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2040?
Will fewer than 26 US states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2030?
67% chance
Will fewer than 26 states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2026?
37% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?
Will abortion laws worldwide get stricter by 2050?
44% chance
Will abortion in the first trimester (ish) have substantive federal protection in 2040?
47% chance
If Biden is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?
Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?
67% chance
Will abortion in the first trimester (ish) have substantive federal protection in 2030?
41% chance
Will any US state ban the morning after pill before the end of 2030?
43% chance