Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.

Metaculus high-level description:

This question resolves as the number of the following 15 officials who leave their position, formally announce they will leave their position, or whose agency announces that they have left or will leave their position, before January 1, 2027:

Role

Incumbent

Secretary of State and National Security Advisor

Marco Rubio

Secretary of the Treasury

Scott Bessent

Secretary of Defense

Pete Hegseth

Attorney General

Pam Bondi

Secretary of Health & Human Services

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Secretary of Commerce

Howard Lutnick

Secretary of Homeland Security

Kristi Noem

Director of National Intelligence

Tulsi Gabbard

Director of the Central Intelligence Agency

John Ratcliffe

OMB Director

Russell Vought

White House Chief of Staff

Susie Wiles

DOJ (FBI) Director

Kash Patel

Border Czar

Tom Homan

Senior Counselor for Trade/Manufacturing

Peter Navarro

Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy and Homeland Security Advisor

Stephen Miller