
Will the first rocket launch from the UK's Sutherland spaceport be successful?
11
110แน229Dec 31
27%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sutherland_spaceport
The first launch is expected to be from Orbex, according to the UK Space Agency's corporate plan here (p19, by their numbering).
Success = success reaching adequate target orbit/trajectory
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
another market about if they complete the spaceport and launch a rocket at all (with or without success)
https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-the-united-kingdom-complete-th
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the United Kingdom complete their Sutherland spaceport and launch an orbital rocket from it before EOY 2027?
8% chance
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
47% chance
What company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?
Which Scottish Spaceport will see the first successful orbital launch?
Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
51% chance
When will the UK have actively used spaceports?
Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?
89% chance
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Will a rocket built by Relativity Space ever achieve orbit?
83% chance
Will a rocket built by PLD space ever put a payload into orbit?
64% chance