Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
11
αΉ1kαΉ6992030
57%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by this Tweet by Eric Berger that gives 50/50 odds
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the United Kingdom complete their Sutherland spaceport and launch an orbital rocket from it before EOY 2027?
2% chance
What company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?
Will the first rocket launch from the UK's SaxaVord spaceport be successful?
36% chance
Will the amount of yearly orbital space launches triple again in the next 5 years?
52% chance
Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027?
99% chance
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
When will the UK have actively used spaceports?
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
19% chance
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
95% chance
(Musk Predicition) Will SpaceX Launch Spacebound Rockets every hour within 5 years?
13% chance