Will the root cause of the Mandela Effect be found in 2024?
19
177
350
Dec 31
17%
chance

I recently experienced a classic example of what many call the Mandela Effect. In the music video for Kelly Rowland and Nelly's song, I distinctly remembered Kelly using a Nokia Communicator phone to send an email. However, upon rewatching the video, I was surprised to see that her character actually has the message typed in an Excel spreadsheet, which seemed odd and inconsistent with my memory.

This personal experience sparked my curiosity about the Mandela Effect, a phenomenon where a large group of people remembers an event or fact differently than how it actually occurred or exists.

Will this phenomenon be explained by a scientific study in 2024? This question seeks to predict whether the Mandela Effect will be explored in a scientific context within the year, specifically in the fields of psychology, cognitive science, or neuroscience.

Resolution Criteria:

  • YES if:

    1. A peer-reviewed scientific paper specifically studying the Mandela Effect is published in a recognized academic journal by December 31, 2024.

    2. The study must be empirical, involving either experimental or observational methodologies.

    3. The paper must be accessible through established academic databases (e.g., PubMed, PsycINFO, Web of Science).

  • NO if:

    1. No such paper is published by the deadline.

    2. Papers published are opinion pieces, literature reviews, or non-empirical in nature.

    3. Papers focus on related memory phenomena but do not explicitly study the Mandela Effect.

* the question details were GPT enriched

** the prompt engineering, tuning and result filtering
done by me (and my meat neurons)

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resolves YES if a paper studying it is published, but not necessarily one that successfully uncovers the cause?

@goblinodds YES if:
- serious paper
- peer-reviewed
- statistically significant
- cause (ex: specific pattern in the brain of the participants, or an expression of a specific gene ...)

Such a paper was already published a few years ago. I clearly remember.

@AlQuinn would be useful if you could find and share, It is clearly a case of false memory, but to my knowledge (and research) there was no root / definitive cause or pathology identified. This market stipulates that it might be found during this year.

@ViorelPETCUVorL sorry that was a joke: meta-mandela effect.

@AlQuinn I (now) see what you did there 😂

What happens in the case where a paper is published which provides both empirical research and a literature review? A lot of scientific papers engage in both.

@DaisyWelham well this is a YES / NO market... so we have to agree on how that resolves.

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