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MANIFOLD
Will Ariane 6 successfully reach orbit before July 15th?
19
Ṁ1kṀ14k
resolved Jul 9
Resolved
YES

Resolves to YES if the Ariane 6 rocket successfully completes an orbital launch mission before July 15th.

Mission success is defined by Arianespace, Ariane Group or ESA criteria, and a non zero amount of mass must reach stable earth orbit.

The exact deadline is measured as the rocket launch time (T-0) at the launch site local time zone.

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bought Ṁ2,189 YES

Resolves Yes! It just passed perigee at 331km altitude.

bought Ṁ500 NO

Not gonna happen

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