Of Manifest 2023 attendees with exactly 1 sibling, will at least 65% be the older sibling?
Basic
20
Ṁ538resolved Sep 25
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/birth-order-effects-nature-vs-nurture
I'll ask around, not do a full survey. I won't bet in this market.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will someone coming from each of the 6 major continents of the world attend Manifest 2024?
62% chance
Which users will attend a Manifest in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
How many manifest babies born before 2028
Will vibecamp (2024) have more attendees than Manifest (2024)?
71% chance
Will there be another Manifest conference held in 2025?
83% chance
Will at least one child be born as a result of two people meeting at Manifest 2023, by EOY 2025?
13% chance
Will the Manifest conference reoccur in 2025?
84% chance
Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier?
95% chance
Are you the oldest sibling?
POLL