Which users will attend Manifest 2025?
104
3.1kṀ27k
resolved Jul 26
Resolved
YES
Saul Munn - @saulmunn
Resolved
YES
Michael Wheatley - @MichaelWheatley
Resolved
YES
Noa Nabeshima - @NoaNabeshima
Resolved
YES
Patrick McKenzie - @patio11
Resolved
YES
Joshua - @Joshua
Resolved
YES
Conflux - @Conflux
Resolved
YES
Aella - @Aella
Resolved
YES
Robin Hanson - @RobinHanson
Resolved
YES
Tumbles - @Tumbles
Resolved
YES
Nathan Young - @NathanpmYoung
Resolved
YES
Carson Gale - @CarsonGale
Resolved
YES
Daniel Reeves - @dreev
Resolved
YES
chris - @Strutheo
Resolved
YES
stefanie - @shankypanky
Resolved
YES
Bayesian - @Bayesian
Resolved
YES
Mikhail Samin - @ms
Resolved
YES
Andrew G - @AndrewG
Resolved
YES
Jim Ausman - @JimAusman
Resolved
YES
Scott Alexander - @ScottAlexander
Resolved
YES
Austin Chen @Austin

Manifest 2025 is going to be in Berkeley from June 6th to June 8th!

A name resolves Yes if they attend, No if they don't attend, and N/A if I can't verify whether they attended or not. If Manifest 2025 does not occur by the end of 2025, everything will resolve N/A.

Let's try to keep it to people with Manifold accounts only for this market, to keep things plausible and to make resolution easier to verify.

If you want some insider info, check the Manifest Payments page to see who bought tickets last year.

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@mods resolves as shown afaik

@strutheo It seems like @RickiHeicklen is active and can resolve this

filled a Ṁ150 NO at 1.0% order

I can confirm that @MaxHarms and I were not at Manifest 2025!

bought Ṁ234 YES

Pins

Someone literally uploaded a picture of Noah at manifest to wikipedia before this resolved yet. So much for prediction markets being efficient xd.

[retracted]

You can resolve me to Yes; was just physically present at kickoff.

Prime opportunity to troll the front page of https://manifest.is considering how illiquid these answers are

When many of the manifolders gather in the groupings big like this, it's usually either for sex, food or sometimes the gambling. This is the true way to futurarchy.

bought Ṁ150 NO

@CryptoNeoLiberalist I'll report it if I see

it

bought Ṁ10 NO

I'm not coming to Manifest. You can resolve it no.

@redcathode not sure if these serve different purposes or if this was an unintentional duplicate - seems like the former, since all of the listings here are of the Firstname Lastname variety

@redcathode good catch. unfortunately looks like this market is a duplicate of Chris' - he made his in June last year.

@Gabrielle any alpha to share?

bought Ṁ30 YES

@ian I'm probably attending, and have asked for my Manifold mod ticket, but have yet to buy plane tickets to physically get there.

bought Ṁ0 YES
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