Of Manifest 2023 attendees with exactly 1 sibling, will at least 65% be the older sibling?
20
410Ṁ538
resolved Sep 25
Resolved
NO

Context: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/birth-order-effects-nature-vs-nurture

I'll ask around, not do a full survey. I won't bet in this market.

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Final tally 27 of 44 = 61.3%

It was above 70% oldest for much of the weekend. 65-70% for almost all of Sunday. 3 youngest at a Sunday evening music jam took it under 65%. Perhaps musicians are an exception to the birth order effect.

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