Will I (co)write an AI safety research paper by the end of 2024?
5
37
Ṁ138Ṁ110
Dec 31
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See my other questions for context. For this question to resolve YES, I have to be a co-author (or the sole author) of a finished research paper that is directly related to AI safety or AI alignment by the end of 2024. The paper need not be published in a journal for this to resolve, but a complete final version has to be produced.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will an "AI Safety Textbook" be available before the end of 2024?
70% chance
Will an AI alignment research paper be featured on the cover of a prestigious scientific journal? (2024)
32% chance
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
59% chance
Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?
20% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?
46% chance
Will the Center for AI Safety run another large-scale philosophy research fellowship in 2024?
43% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
53% chance
In 2025, will I believe that aligning automated AI research AI should be the focus of the alignment community?
48% chance
Will I still consider improving AI X-Safety my top priority on EOY 2024?
61% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2025?
18% chance