Will George R.R. Martin publish an ASOIAF book in 2022?
51
Ṁ142Ṁ3.3kresolved Jan 1
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Resolves to YES if "The Winds of Winter" or "A Dream of Spring" are released before December 31st 2022.
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"Surely not N+1 years!"
Which admittedly is not a heuristic which has served me well in the past.
Also, arbitrage with https://manifold.markets/JiaobeiMandos/will-the-winds-of-winter-book-six-o
https://georgerrmartin.com/notablog/
new blog post. GRRM mentions that he "made a lot of progress on WINDS in 2020, and less in 2021"
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