Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?
9
Ṁ1kṀ9132027
15%
Finance (portfolio optimization, risk, pricing)
12%
Pharma / chemistry (drug or material discovery)
6%
Logistics / mobility (routing, supply chain, EV fleets)
6%
Cybersecurity / cryptography
6%
Government / defence
56%
No sector shows “wide adoption” by 31 Dec 2032
Description
This market resolves based on which sector first demonstrates wide, real-world adoption of quantum computing for production (non-experimental) workloads.
Resolution Criteria:
• The market resolves YES for the first sector that meets the criteria above.
• If no sector clearly meets the criteria by 31 December 2032, resolve to: “No sector shows ‘wide adoption’ by 31 Dec 2032.”
• If multiple sectors advance, the earliest clear adoption wins.
Academic-only usage or single-company pilots do not qualify as wide adoption.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
How many times will #QuantumComputing trend on X globally within the next 30 days?
Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?
Will a quantum computer break any widely used cryptosystem before 2030?
17% chance
Which solution becomes the most adopted response to the quantum threat in crypto?
How many times will #QuantumComputing trend on X globally within the next 30 days?
How many times will #QuantumComputing trend on X globally within the next 30 days?
Which solution becomes the most adopted response to the quantum threat in crypto?
Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
40% chance
Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
When will Quantum computing become viable?
2030