US public opinion, 2026: Worse outcomes for Black people, mainly from discrimination?
10
1kṀ1123
2026
23%
chance

The General Social Survey (GSS) routinely asks Americans the following question:

On the average Black people have worse jobs, income, and housing than white people. Do you think these differences are . . . A. Mainly due to discrimination?

In the 2026 survey, will the survey results show a majority of opinions answering "Yes"? (That is, more "Yes" answers than "No" answers, ignoring "Don't know" responses.)

See this chart for results in prior years.

I will not bet on this market.

  • Update 2025-06-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that this market will resolve based on the General Social Survey (GSS) results for all respondents. An earlier version of the market description incorrectly linked to a chart showing results for non-black respondents.

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