US public opinion, 2026: Worse outcomes for Black people, mainly from discrimination?
6
1kṀ3622026
37%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The General Social Survey (GSS) routinely asks Americans the following question:
On the average Black people have worse jobs, income, and housing than white people. Do you think these differences are . . . A. Mainly due to discrimination?
In the 2026 survey, will the survey results show a majority of opinions answering "Yes"? (Not counting "Don't know" answers.)
See this chart for results in prior years.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an explicitly racist or sexist politician get elected to major office in America by the end of 2030?
71% chance
US public opinion, 2026: Should racists be allowed to speak?
46% chance
Will more Americans support the Black Lives Matter movement than oppose it before the end of 2025?
57% chance
Will US state policies on transgender people be significantly more polarized at the beginning of 2026?
20% chance
Will “anti-racism” peak by 2030?
82% chance
After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?
26% chance
Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2025 (according to gallop)?
31% chance