Will more Americans support the Black Lives Matter movement than oppose it before the end of 2025?
2
100Ṁ252026
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question: "Do you support or oppose the Black Lives Matter movement?"
If support for Black Lives Matter, according to Civiqs polling, is net positive (i.e. 1% or higher) for any amount of time before the end of 2025, this question resolves YES. Otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will street protests against Trump's agenda result in at least one death in 2025?
73% chance
Will more Americans support abolishing the Electoral College after the 2024 election?
54% chance
Will the BLM movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
16% chance
Will there be any lynchings in the USA by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will 20+ people die in anti-Trump protests in 2025?
19% chance
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2025?
61% chance
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2025 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)?
60% chance
Will there be an anti-Trump protest march with at least 1m reported total participants in the US before 1st June 2025?
15% chance
Will I consider the transgender rights movement in America to have “basically won” by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
23% chance