The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the Manifold user who has the highest amount of "mana earned" in Manifold's Season 12 Diamond league.

For example, Season 11's winner would have been @houstonEuler, who earned Ṁ80,778, which was more than the Ṁ47,481 that runner-up @JamesGrugett earned.

In the event of a tie, each contract identifying a user tied for the most mana will resolve to the percentage 1 / x , where x is the number of contracts tied in this way (presumably two), rounded to the nearest integer percentage. For example, if two users were tied, their contracts would each resolve to 50%. If three users were tied, their contracts would each resolve to 33%.

This market's closing date and time, currently 7:00 UTC, 2 May 2024, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.

If no user who is part of a Diamond league earns any mana in Season 12, this market will resolve to "No one".

I will not bet on this market.