You can see how much Tumbles currently owes here
Resolves YES if at any time the total amount Tumbles owes to other users totals at least 1,000,000 mana. This includes fees and interest. This does not include the daily loans Manifold automatically gives out to every user.
Resolve NO at the market's scheduled close date. Note it includes Christmas day.
Have spare mana? Loan it to me! I'll pay you a nice juicy fee as a thank you xoxo
Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex!
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ13,355 | |
| 2 | Ṁ65 | |
| 3 | Ṁ20 | |
| 4 | Ṁ4 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |
@Tumbles I really do understand why you resolved this now - these changes are bullshit.
Nevertheless, it does not seem fair to resolve so early - you say explicitly this resolves no at the markets scheduled close date. I factored in your investments here and the delayed gains while betting in other TFS markets. It is not fair to me (who has acted in good faith with you) to resolve this early.
Further, the administration are clearly quite fickle. There is a real chance they bring back p2p loans in some form in the next 8 months.
@RobertCousineau I kinda see where you're coming from, but it's not like it was ever going to resolve YES at this point. With 102k on NO I was fully committed to not choosing to trigger this market. My debt is already under 500k.
I have always been a fan of early resolutions in general. However, this resolution does benefit me, so if mods say it should stay open I won't be upset or argue.
@Tumbles your 102k on No makes resolving this 8 months early all the more impactful to my bets on your "will I ever default" market.
"Get your mana tied up in markets you can't back out of due to a lack of counterparties" is one of my tactics.
I would appreciate if you invested the time to have a conversation with mods about re-resolving, given you were the one who decided to resolve 8 months before the agreed upon date.
@RobertCousineau I've pinged Joshua and SirSalty about it and so far they don't seem to care. I'm currently inclined to stick with this resolution, but I won't be at all offended if you ask a mod about it yourself
[some technic failures, sent the comment twice]
