Ok this is just getting silly now. Will Tumbles owe Ṁ750,000 by Christmas?
37
952
590
resolved Feb 12
Resolved
YES

You can see how much Tumbles currently owes here

Resolves YES if at any time the total amount Tumbles owes to other users totals at least 750,000 mana. This includes fees and interest. This does not include the daily loans Manifold automatically gives out to every user.

Resolve NO at the market's scheduled close date. Note it includes Christmas day.

Have spare mana? Loan it to me! I'll pay you a nice juicy fee as a thank you xoxo

Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex!

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#NameTotal profit
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2Ṁ1,325
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Well, that's another 8.6k fed to the memes furnace

🤔

@Bayesian I personally get utility from seeing Tumble's debt going up

@AmmonLam is he going to repay you a month ago somehow? does this qualify for the loan default market??

@shankypanky true, tumbles is clearly late on this loan

Why did anyone think this wasn't going to resolve yes? We all know who tumbles is right?

For a couple hours today I was in about 60k more debt than it said on my sheet but that still wasn't enough to resolve this market

Clarification question regarding 0% meme loans:

Both this market and your other loan market require that you "intentionally" accepted a loan. If someone sends you a massive 0% meme loan without your prior consent, does it could as "intentionally" accepting it if you don't return it "immediately"? I.e. you could decline to take the loan by simply returning it immediately at no cost to you, and by not returning it you could be seen as accepting the loan.

predicted NO

@Pykess I promise not to let this ambiguity become relevant. If somebody sends me a loan I don't want I will make a good faith effort to return it as soon as I can. With that said, I really don't plan to resolve this YES based on the technicality you outlined.

@Tumbles I figured this was the case but just wanted to make sure. It would make sense that if someone offered you a loan that would cause this to resolve YES, you'd decline given your position on NO.

bought Ṁ250 of YES

tubmles

This is getting out of hand lol

filled aṀ10 NO at 22% order

@Tumbles Stop betting against it and get this damn loan

bought Ṁ150 NO
bought Ṁ100 of YES

This includes fees and interest

"...and interest"

bought Ṁ90 YES from 21% to 67%
predicted NO

@firstuserhere sadly I fear I will now always be second place

boughtṀ100NO

@Tumbles Why do you not believe in yourself? That are just M$115,886 more! Just one more small loan.

i believe in you fox GIF by MasterChef Junior

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@Lion I like to throw NO bets on all my markets like these. Gotta shovel fuel into the meme furnace

predicted YES

@Tumbles I asked for a loan for you ❤

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