Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?
12
77
190
2026
62%
chance

India initially tried to build a military base in Seychelles on Assumption Island in 2018, but was rejected by Seychelles parliament. They instead built a military base on Mauritius's Agalega Island. However, China has been building its own military base in Madagascar and India's military base in Mauritius is farther from the Mozambique Channel. India may decide to build another military base in the southwestern Indian ocean to counter China's growing influence in the region.

Question resolves YES if India starts to build a military base in a country in eastern Africa before the end of 2026, with the military base near the Indian ocean.

Listening posts/radar installations/berthing rights do not count, it has to be a full military base.

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