Trump's rhetoric has had many commentators wondering if use of nuclear weapons is in the cards: [image]Any use of nuclear weapons in Iran by the US military while Trump is president will result in this market being resolved as YES. Otherwise NO.

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 5% chance (11 traders, as of Apr 7, 2026).

Will Trump nuke Iran before 2027?

Will Trump nuke Iran before 2027?

Ṁ1kṀ4.7k

Dec 31

chance

ALL

Trump's rhetoric has had many commentators wondering if use of nuclear weapons is in the cards:

Any use of nuclear weapons in Iran by the US military while Trump is president will result in this market being resolved as YES. Otherwise NO.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!