📖Will @ScottAlexander write a classic (over 1000 likes) before 2025?
39
910Ṁ31kresolved Jan 14
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a post made on Astral Codex Ten between 2023-09-08 and 2024-12-31 (inclusive) receives more than 1000 likes by the end of 2024. UTC times will be used. The post will need to have this many likes long enough for me to confirm. Only posts by Scott count. For example, the book review contest submissions do not count (unless one of them is later revealed to have been written by Scott).
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ688 | |
| 2 | Ṁ144 | |
| 3 | Ṁ118 | |
| 4 | Ṁ93 | |
| 5 | Ṁ90 |
People are also trading
Related questions
📖Will @ScottAlexander write an all-time post (see description) by 2035?
77% chance
Will Scott Alexander release another (50k+ words) fictional work before 2035?
64% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
14% chance
Will @ScottAlexander post another article with a title that matches "The [disease] of [emotion]" before 2026?
38% chance
Will Scott Aaronson write about Quantum Economics before 2026?
10% chance
Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?
10% chance
Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
4% chance
Will Scott Alexander (psychiatrist and writer) be arrested before 2030?
4% chance