Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 240 seats at the next UK general election? | Manifold

Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 240 seats at the next UK general election?

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resolved Jul 5

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Edited to add UK to title

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predicted YES

Pushed resolution to the end of the year, was set to Feb for some reason. It's my intention to close before the exit poll comes out, though, so I'll update again when the date is known.

Now also added a market for 160

This is overpriced

@nikki added a new market for 200 seats if you're interested:

https://manifold.markets/Tomoffer/will-the-conservatives-tories-win-m-4f8a1f93b653?r=VG9tb2ZmZXI

I should probably make a bet at some point...

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