If Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will RFK be confirmed for a cabinet position within six months?
Plus
16
แน25392025
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if Trump loses the election.
Resolves YES if RFK is appointed by Trump and confirmed by the Senate by July 20.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@traders Sorry, I just realized I never put a clear end date for this.
If Trump does win, it may take a few months before everyone in his cabinet is confirmed. So I think a reasonable choice for the close date is July 1, 2024. Any objections?
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump win and nominate RFK to a cabinet position?
34% chance
If Trump wins, will RFK Jr. become secretary of health and human services?
19% chance
If Trump wins, will RFK Jr be nominated to any cabinet/secretary position in 2025?
55% chance
If Trump wins, will he offer RFK Jr. a position in his administration?
60% chance
If Trump wins, will RFK Jr become his first HHS secretary?
22% chance
Will RFK Jr. reach 5 percent of the national popular vote in the 2024 election?
1% chance
Will RFK Jr. finish second in any state in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2% chance
Will RFK Jr. win ANY state in the 2024 US presidential election?
3% chance
If Trump is elected president, will he appoint Kennedy to a government position by the end of 2026?
62% chance
Will RFK Jr. participate in a presidential debate in 2024?
1% chance