Will RFK Jr. be on the ticket in 2028?
Will RFK Jr. be on the ticket in 2028?
10
130Ṁ330
2028
9%
chance

Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/

Carrie Poppy: Right, yeah. I know what you mean. See, I think she might like RFK. So, she says, “RFK Jr. is a messenger of lots of truth people do not want to hear. He’s exposing the 1960s events and why people died. That is okay, as truth heals and secrets harm. He has a great chance of being on the ticket for 2028.”

Ross Blocher: Being on the ticket? Well, that’s weird. Okay, because he’s running as an independent.

Carrie Poppy: Oh, good point. Yeah, what ticket?

Ross Blocher: Oh, 2028. Okay

Carrie Poppy: Oh, 2028. Okay. Yeah. Okay.

Ross Blocher: Huh. Alright. Well, so she likes him as well. Okay.

Carrie Poppy: Yeah. What an interesting pair to admire.

I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2029 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)

With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:

(Obviously this one would resolve in 2028 rather than 2025.)

US Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
2028 US presidential election
Oh No, Ross and Carrie!
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5mo

Resolving this one N/A as per my previous comment.

1y

What constitutes being "on the ticket"?

1y

@Nick6d8e Unclear, which is of course part of the game being played with "psychic" predictions. I will defer to Ross and Carrie's evaluation, or resolve as N/A if they don't revisit this prediction in their 2029 evaluations (or if the podcast ends its run before then).

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