Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2026?
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ6918
2026
73%
chance

Any job in the administration will count. Any outside contractor role, like Musk and Ramaswamy seem poised to take up, will not.

Clarification: RFK must have the position on 1/1/2026 for this to resolve YES. If he gets fired before then and doesn't get a new position this market will resolve NO.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

To clarify, "by" does not mean "at", correct? If RFK Jr gets a role, and then is fired before 2026, does this still resolve Yes?

bought Ṁ50 NO

@UnspecifiedPerson "By" does mean "at" in this case, thanks for bringing the ambiguity to my attention.

Could you define "official role"? Does a minor undersecretary role count, for example?

bought Ṁ150 NO

@agucova I mean any job in the administration for this question. An outside contractor role, like Musk and Ramaswamy seem poised to take up, will not count.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules