
If Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will RFK be confirmed for a cabinet position within six months?
75
1kṀ39kresolved Feb 13
Resolved
YES1H
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Resolves N/A if Trump loses the election.
Resolves YES if RFK is appointed by Trump and confirmed by the Senate by July 20.
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He was just confirmed today. Resolving YES.
@nonnihil The Senate confirmation is a key part of this question, so a recess appointment wouldn't count.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/12/us/politics/trump-republicans-senate.html
Selling my YES shares - Trump may decide to nominate RFK and avoid a Senate confirmation.
@traders Sorry, I just realized I never put a clear end date for this.
If Trump does win, it may take a few months before everyone in his cabinet is confirmed. So I think a reasonable choice for the close date is July 1, 2024. Any objections?