Will SpaceX deploy any Starlink satellites using Starship in 2024?
129
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resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Resolves yes if Starship/Superheavy successfully deploys at least one Starlink satellite in a nominal orbit during 2024. The satellites don't need to function as long as they are deployed from Starship.

For a similar market but for commercial payloads, see this one: https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/first-starshipsuperheavy-commercial

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