Iran a liberal democracy in 2032, conditional on regime change in 2025 or 2026?
5
100Ṁ862032
25%
chance
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Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2032, Iran is recognized as a liberal democracy.
If there is no regime change before 2027, resolves N/A.
Resolution will be based on the Freedom House classification, and Free or Partially Free both count. If the classification changes or is not published, I will choose a similar report.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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