Do people on manifold generally mean the same thing when they say AGI? | Manifold

Do people on manifold generally mean the same thing when they say AGI?

48

Never closes

Yes

No

I see a lot of questions about AGI which seem to really hinge a lot on the definition of AGI. They tend to be long-term, so maybe it doesn't really matter that much, but I think there is a huge difference between "slightly better ChatGPT" and "rapidly self-improving super intelligence".

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?

When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

By when will we have AGI?

If AGI has an okay outcome, will there be an AGI singleton?

Will AGI be a problem before non-G AI?

Related questions

Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?

When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

By when will we have AGI?

If AGI has an okay outcome, will there be an AGI singleton?

Will AGI be a problem before non-G AI?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy